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Posted
8 hours ago, -rick- said:

@Pocster How desperate are you? ;)

 

 

Well ! Unfortunately as I presume you now realise the ram shortage is a massive problem - yes , even for Apple .

It did look obvious tbh - so now I have to wait for any indicator of ultra appearing and jump on it ! I guess it could be announced at wwdc - maybe have a date for pre orders . Buys Apple time to acquire ram whilst still be bigging up their product . That’s the best I can hope for - a definite date to refresh Apple Store !

  • jack changed the title to Avalon local LLM
  • 2 weeks later...
Posted
2 hours ago, -rick- said:

https://arstechnica.com/gadgets/2026/05/apple-may-take-several-months-to-catch-up-to-mac-mini-and-studio-demand/

 

Interestingly it mentions TSMC being a bottleneck. TSMC doesn't make RAM.

TSMC doesn’t make RAM, no one said they do. TSMC is the SoC bottleneck.

 

The RAM shortage is a separate bottleneck, and Apple clearly isn’t immune. Other manufacturers have openly said memory shortages are affecting them, and Cook has said Mac mini / Mac Studio supply-demand balance will take several months.

 

High-memory Mac mini / Studio configs are also exactly where the worst delays and unavailable options have shown up.

 

There are also multiple reports suggesting the memory shortage could last well into 2027 and possibly beyond, especially as AI demand keeps soaking up supply.

 

So pointing out that TSMC doesn’t make RAM doesn’t disprove the RAM issue; it just identifies a different bottleneck.

Posted
9 minutes ago, Pocster said:

So pointing out that TSMC doesn’t make RAM doesn’t disprove the RAM issue; it just identifies a different bottleneck.

 

Sure, I just thought it was interesting to highlight.

Posted

Even if Mac unified memory and iPhone RAM aren’t identical final packages, they come from the same constrained LPDDR supply chain. Apple then has to allocate that supply across products, and iPhone will obviously take priority over niche high-memory Mac configs.

Posted
3 hours ago, Pocster said:

Even if Mac unified memory and iPhone RAM aren’t identical final packages, they come from the same constrained LPDDR supply chain. Apple then has to allocate that supply across products, and iPhone will obviously take priority over niche high-memory Mac configs.

I suppose that consumer high end local LLM schemes need large memory but you can do the same thing with a cloud based one while you await delivery of enough RAM, or whatever other semiconductor you are waiting on. Trouble is that the end of the proverbial rainbow is moving away from you faster than you can stuff memory into machines anyway, so, when your RAM arrives there will be plenty of models it won't run because they have grown, bloated, faster than you can add RAM to your machine. 

Posted
12 minutes ago, MikeSharp01 said:

I suppose that consumer high end local LLM schemes need large memory but you can do the same thing with a cloud based one while you await delivery of enough RAM, or whatever other semiconductor you are waiting on. Trouble is that the end of the proverbial rainbow is moving away from you faster than you can stuff memory into machines anyway, so, when your RAM arrives there will be plenty of models it won't run because they have grown, bloated, faster than you can add RAM to your machine. 

 

Does look that way. New Deepseek one for example, and it's been touted has having huge optimizations for reducing memory usage. It might be much better at storing context but if the model is so huge in the first place it's not easy to run at home.

 

Google seems to have done well with Gemma, but of course that is a lot cut down from the leading models and they aren't releasing those. Doubt any western firm will for 'safety' reasons. So far the Chinese govt doesn't seem to care about that so long as their models spout Chinese propoganda at the relevant moments. :/

Posted
8 hours ago, MikeSharp01 said:

I suppose that consumer high end local LLM schemes need large memory but you can do the same thing with a cloud based one while you await delivery of enough RAM, or whatever other semiconductor you are waiting on. Trouble is that the end of the proverbial rainbow is moving away from you faster than you can stuff memory into machines anyway, so, when your RAM arrives there will be plenty of models it won't run because they have grown, bloated, faster than you can add RAM to your machine. 

I’ll use chat as my reasoner but I need local to  do my local actioned stuffed until I can source enough ram . Bigger model did mean better but now smaller better optimised models can out perform a larger one . Obviously there’s a point when you can’t go smaller without too much compromise . If you ask ChatGPT itself how long before a model matches its capabilities of today in a ‘ reasonable ‘ size it reckons within 2 years a 256gb model will be comparable to ChatGPT 5.4. That’s insane ! To have that capability sat on your desk in a relatively low ram config.

Moe and potentially’ bolt on ‘ specialists seems to be the next level . A medical specialist , maths specialist etc plugged in to the reasoner.

Posted

After lots of reading ( for probably months ) , YouTube videos etc etc . Enough to confuse anyone I decided to start Avalon .

 

chatgpt and I are architects 

 

we setup llama etc , vs studio , ssh into m3 etc etc , even parsec screen share 

 

Deepseek is our reasoner . Qwen coder next our sweat shop “ just do it ! “ coder !

 

chat managed to create me some scripts so we create a brief for today’s task . Get Deepseek to take that and produce a detailed instruction list for qwen .

 

So process is

 

Create task 

Give to Deepseek 

Approve Deepseek output 

Tell qwen to do it ( for reasons I’m unsure of we don’t use git diffs but json - I didn’t argue as it seems to work )

Then some kind of test . Chat gets excited about this ; me less so when terminal window says “ it worked ! “ 😊

But we are building framework and structure first .

 

I’m blown away by this all locally !

llm , creating document for llm to produce detail for another llm 

Crazy !!

90% of programmers obsolete ! 
Just todays tasks would have been weeks of learning and work .

 

Posted

Notice Mac minis basically out of stock and even a m3 ultra 96gb ( base model ) no where to be seen . I got mine from curry’s of all places ! , check it every few days to judge demand - now they have none !

I think when I sell the m3 I’ll get a pretty good price for it even with m5 released because it’s all going to sell out fast !

Posted
17 minutes ago, Pocster said:

Notice Mac minis basically out of stock and even a m3 ultra 96gb ( base model ) no where to be seen

Bought mine the other week from Amazon, just looked and still available. Look harder

  • Sad 1
Posted
1 hour ago, JohnMo said:

Bought mine the other week from Amazon, just looked and still available. Look harder

Yeah it said “ out of stock “ so that’s a clue .

Try (expletive deleted)ing reading . Screen grab is from now !

what is it with people on this forum !

I’ll wait for apology 

IMG_6147.png

Posted (edited)
15 minutes ago, Pocster said:

Yeah it said “ out of stock “ so that’s a clue .

Try (expletive deleted)ing reading . Screen grab is from now !

what is it with pricks on this forum !

I’ll wait for apology 

IMG_6147.png

For completeness yes it’s on Amazon apparently at an inflated price . 
Honestly can everyone (expletive deleted) off on my thread and start a new “ buying Apple llm hardware “ thread rather than being (expletive deleted) wanker ?

Also you are right ; so you didn’t spend upwards of 3k + ; just a bs post by you . Should be banned from forum imho - I’ll await @Nickfromwales email . Ffs 

IMG_6148.png

Edited by Pocster
Posted

Why not get an RTX 5090 card for you desktop pc. True they don't have the shared ram but they should do all you need. I have a 3090 with just 24Gb of ram but it does all I need. 

Posted

Mac mini, M4 is what I quoted and yes it's for sale, delivery on Wednesday. Not sure what you are getting upset about.

 

Screenshot_2026-05-03-18-18-54-41_b5f6883d2c20a96c53babc0b4ac88108.thumb.jpg.d6685942373ab62a4c7b6db307e1a40b.jpg

Posted (edited)
38 minutes ago, MikeSharp01 said:

Why not get an RTX 5090 card for you desktop pc. True they don't have the shared ram but they should do all you need. I have a 3090 with just 24Gb of ram but it does all I need. 

A sane person . Problem is unified ram . Best on Nvidia is 96gb on rtx6000 that’s a 10k gpu card !!!!

This is why Apple have ( unintentionally) jumped to number 1 for local llm .

Edited by Pocster
Posted (edited)
1 hour ago, Nickfromwales said:

Easy folks. Let’s have a chilled weekend ya. ;)
 

@Pocster, dial it down to a 2, instead of the 10 you seem to have jumped straight to. :S  

There he is … Bro !

@Nickfromwales not worth the hassle with @JohnMo - he’s been a prick before . Just lock / delete the thread please . I was only trying to share my adventure/ futility / hobby . But tbh it isn’t worth the bollocks . I post here rather than Reddit for that very reason . But I can’t be bothered anymore with (expletive deleted) posts . So respectfully lock / delete thread and I will continue my quest on my own . 

Edited by Pocster
Hairy vag

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