Beelbeebub
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Are we targeting ASHP's at the wrong market?
Beelbeebub replied to ProDave's topic in Air Source Heat Pumps (ASHP)
Which takes us nearly vs k to the beginning. The goal is to make it cheaper to stay warm in a world where gas prices will rise and we want to reduce our co2 output Insulation is one line of attack. As you say, loft insulation is an.easy win. There are still. A.significant number of houses with less insulation than thry could have As you say after that options get harder. The challenge is two sided. Cost (and who pays), disruption/difficulty (inidong issues like planning, conservation areas etc) The op was about focusing on electrically heated homes. Switching to a HP, probably air to air will drop the bills by well over half. Probably over 2/3, and cost less than most other measures, and be minimally disruptive. We do need to explore options to pay. We. Could offset with a charge when the house is sold. "we fit this now and the 8k will be charged when the house is sold". We could just straight up pay. We could add a charge to the bills. Point is, switching an electric home a HP has more benefits than a gas home, lower co2, lower electric demand, lower bills and typically less cost. -
Are we targeting ASHP's at the wrong market?
Beelbeebub replied to ProDave's topic in Air Source Heat Pumps (ASHP)
Which is my point. The *current* system, which is set up to reward inspectors who sign of any old crap and punish those that insist on the job being done properly, isn't fit for purpose. The incentive structure is wrong. It needs to be redone so the incentives are to follow the regulations. -
Are we targeting ASHP's at the wrong market?
Beelbeebub replied to ProDave's topic in Air Source Heat Pumps (ASHP)
Two parts here Doing it properly - means making sure any new houses are built to use the minimum energy to stay warm. It's not difficult. Double glazed windows, 400mm loft insulation, 6-8" glass wool (or equiv solid) wall insulation. 8-12" floor insulation. Control air tightness. Ideally use mvhr. Design heating and DHW system for HP. None of those thing increace the cost in the context of house prices (a good chunk of the cost being the land not the build cost). Stop putting up shitty homes. As for retrofit. Harder. But not impossible. We just have to keep plugging away. I can't remember the exact dates but we insulated more lofts and walls in one year (2013 or thereabouts) than the decade after. The government stopped the scheme and installs fell off a cliff. Allow a2a Heatpumps to be subsidised (with limits on cooling) - they are loads cheaper to install and, as a bonus can be installed in parallel with the existing system so the occupant is risking nothing. And while you're at it, get on board with r290 for split a2a systems. Make the regs easier and simpler. Current ones are too onerous given you are worrying about 500g of propane mainly outside a building that is already connected to near unlimited amounts of methane and you sell propane in 20kg bottles for bbqs. Allow subsidies even if you dont convert the DHW system. Makes the job simpler. Make the planning and permitting system faster and simpler. -
Are we targeting ASHP's at the wrong market?
Beelbeebub replied to ProDave's topic in Air Source Heat Pumps (ASHP)
To ensure that houses are designed and built to the regulations and that the designers and builder dot cut corners to boost profits -
Are we targeting ASHP's at the wrong market?
Beelbeebub replied to ProDave's topic in Air Source Heat Pumps (ASHP)
Disagree. It's an important function. But it has been degraded. By just being seen as (and just being) a rubber stamp. Proper building control makes sure houses are designed to meet the regulations and (this is where we fall down now) that they are built to the designs. So if the design calls for wall ties every 5 meters and every 4th course, someone checks this is happening and then your school doesn't fall down. If the specification calls for 300mm of loft insulation, it needs to be there not left in the rolls. You cannot expect a madern building site with contractors, subcontractors and different trades all on piece work to do the job properly. My mate had to fit kitchens when he started (OK 20 years ago)....£120 each kitchen. You bet corners were cut (or not cut as the case may be!). Access hatch in wrong spot - no time to sort that. No time to check waste fittings were tight. Silicone laid down in one go, no finishing. Plugs into plasterboard takes too long, just screw it. Got a 50/50 chance you've connected the hot and cold the right way on. -
Are we targeting ASHP's at the wrong market?
Beelbeebub replied to ProDave's topic in Air Source Heat Pumps (ASHP)
We don't lack the expertise or even the manpower to build the railway. We lack the political will. To much pissing about with "will they won't they" as every nimby within 50 miles of the route sticks their oar in and people with zero knowledge of railways armchair general the whole bloody thing. Our grid was designed to move electeixiry from the big coal regions to the cities. We built it fast enough. Now we need to build some more transmission lines as our generation has moved. We know what we have to do. We know how to do it quickly and cheaply. But suddenly everyone gets in a lather about some pylons. Then they demand it"s underground, which is more expensive. Then thry demand it goes another route because "it" s digging up my farmland". Which adds cost. Then they complain it"s too expensive and is taking too long. -
Are we targeting ASHP's at the wrong market?
Beelbeebub replied to ProDave's topic in Air Source Heat Pumps (ASHP)
Th coree problcoree that inspectors are employed by the builders. Builders will choose the inspector who is most compliant. Any inspector who actually says "nope, redo this before i sign off" won't get the job again. Hence the rise of snagging companies. e -
Are we targeting ASHP's at the wrong market?
Beelbeebub replied to ProDave's topic in Air Source Heat Pumps (ASHP)
The inspectors work for whoever pays them, and that isn't the home owner...... Daft system that leads to Grenfell -
Do they really need.to swap the 22mm to the cylinder to 28mm? 28mm pipe can carry 10kw at heatpump dTs And you are having a 10kw (nominal Max) heatpump. But reheating your cylinder at 10kw is going to be less efficient and noise as your HP will be going flat out. But 22mm can carry 6kw. Which is probably right where you want your 10kw HP to run for max efficency and lowest sound. Recharge times for the cylinder will be slower, but is that a major issue? Depending on how the pipe runs are, the repiping might be a grand or more of cost.
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Just disconnect the flow & return where they connect to the conservatory manifold and cap them off with a speed fit stop end. Remove the blending valve and pump. Obviously you can't remove the pipes from the floor and it would make sense to leave the manifold in place. Conservatory disconnected. Of course, once everything is fitted and they have gone home some one might reconnect the flow and return to the manifold....
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Are we targeting ASHP's at the wrong market?
Beelbeebub replied to ProDave's topic in Air Source Heat Pumps (ASHP)
Yeah. I think a core issue (and this cuts across alot in thr UK) we absolutely (as a nation) cannot abide anyone getting something they aren't entitled to (unless it's a PPE contract) We will go to enormous lengths to stop that even if it means preventing those who should be receiving something getting it. So we end up with huge bureaucratic systems dedicated to filtering out every single possible instance non-entitlement. Which often prevents things being done. -
Are we targeting ASHP's at the wrong market?
Beelbeebub replied to ProDave's topic in Air Source Heat Pumps (ASHP)
100% this. We should have had high level insulation back in 2016, but the new government scrapped it. The other part of the equation is ensuring houses are built to thwt spec and things like loft insulation aren't ommited. The building inspector system needs to be scrapped and moved back to council inspectors who's next job doesn't depend on them signing this one off. -
Are we targeting ASHP's at the wrong market?
Beelbeebub replied to ProDave's topic in Air Source Heat Pumps (ASHP)
One massive policy failure that came back to bite us when gas prices soared is our failure to upgrade our housing stock. Having been through several iterations of the various initiatives - they were all bloody nightmares. Costly, convoluted applications that resulted in inappropriate work carried out to a poor standards - if any work coukd be done at all. We applied for one tenant who was told they would qualify for new windows but the only firm authorised to do the work couldnt fit them on for 18 months and the scheme was only valid for 12. -
Are we targeting ASHP's at the wrong market?
Beelbeebub replied to ProDave's topic in Air Source Heat Pumps (ASHP)
You can be warm without burning lots of fuel. Insulation. Government's have little say over the cost of gas. The bulk of the cost is the world price. The price of electricity is more malleable. There are the taxes we mentioned as well as the "last generators price for all" structure of the market. Bringing down the price of electricity would be a good thing for everyone. Reducing the demand (Heatpumps and insulation) would help, not onky reduxe the cost to end users of staying warm, but also reduce (to a degree) the price of electricity as the demand shrinks (and yes overall demand will increace as we move. To EVs and more HPs replace gas, but the demand will be less than if we did nothing). -
Are we targeting ASHP's at the wrong market?
Beelbeebub replied to ProDave's topic in Air Source Heat Pumps (ASHP)
Quote from here https://www.carbonbrief.org/analysis-uks-electricity-was-cleanest-ever-in-2024/ Other key insights from the data include: In 2024, the country generated just 91 terawatt hours (TWh) of electricity from fossil fuels – mainly gas, as coal was phased out in September – down from 203TWh in 2014 (-55%). Renewable sources more than doubled from 65TWh in 2014 to 143TWh in 2024 (+122%). Gas-fired power stations remained the UK’s single-largest source of electricity in 2024, generating some 88TWh (28%), just ahead of wind at 84TWh (26%). The remaining sources of electricity in 2024 were nuclear (41TWh, 13%), biomass (40TWh, 13%), imports (33TWh, 11%) and solar (14TWh, 4%). Some 58% of electricity – or 64% excluding imports – came from clean sources, both records, but a long way off the government’s target of at least 95% clean power by 2030. The emissions associated with UK electricity supplies has fallen from 150m tonnes of CO2 (MtCO2) in 2014 to below 40MtCO2 in 2024, down 74%. The reduction in the carbon intensity of electricity means that an electric vehicle (EV) now has lifecycle CO2 savings of 70% over a petrol car, up from only 50% in 2014. Similarly, a household using a heat pump instead of a gas boiler is now cutting its heat-related CO2 emissions by 84% per year, rather than only 45% in 2014. Again to circle back to should we be looking to swap out direct electric for HP systems... Yes, because we would be massively reducing the co2 output from those properties but also, it would reduce the demand for electricity For every home currently on electric you swap to a HP, you can move another 2 similar homes currently on gas to HPs without needing to increace the electric supply at all. If 10% of homes are on direct electric at the moment that means we could end up with 30% of homes on HPs without any additional generation capacity needed. (broad figures) -
Are we targeting ASHP's at the wrong market?
Beelbeebub replied to ProDave's topic in Air Source Heat Pumps (ASHP)
Just had a look back to my Jan 2018 bills. Gas was. 2.5p Elec was 12p -
Are we targeting ASHP's at the wrong market?
Beelbeebub replied to ProDave's topic in Air Source Heat Pumps (ASHP)
That report projects that renewable will hit around 300Twh by 2030 and gas will fall to below 50Twh (less than half now) using policies as of June 2024 ie pre Labour. IIRC the tory plans didn't include any onshore wind (cheapest wind source) and labour have said they will remove the defacto ban. I'd say *if* a significant restart of onshore wind can be accompanied by more offshore and solar the the goal of having near zero (gas for backup only) electricity by the early 2030's isn't unrealistic. -
Are we targeting ASHP's at the wrong market?
Beelbeebub replied to ProDave's topic in Air Source Heat Pumps (ASHP)
the housebuikders won't go on strike. They need to build and sell houses to make money. Plus, with the large number of houses needed it would probably be economic in the long run for a nationised house builder to enter the market. The Gov employs the supply chain from architects to final finishes and ground works. A % is kept for social housing and some sold off. The workforce can be fully employed and nkt subject to boom and bust cycles and as we near the end of the building program thry can transition to maintance of those social houses. The presence of well built reasonably proved homes on the market would act as a moderator on the private builders. -
Are we targeting ASHP's at the wrong market?
Beelbeebub replied to ProDave's topic in Air Source Heat Pumps (ASHP)
This is the closest I could find, from 2022. https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-politics-63023277 "Labour conference: Starmer ambition to get off fossil fuels by 2030" But in the text it's clear that he is referring to electricity generation, and even then he later clarified that fossil fuels may still be required as a backup. I don't think that's an impossible target or one we shouldn't be aiming for. We already have some fossil fuel free days. It's just a case of expanding capacity so they become the norm. -
Are we targeting ASHP's at the wrong market?
Beelbeebub replied to ProDave's topic in Air Source Heat Pumps (ASHP)
We should be banning new builds from having gas heating. If you are a new build then accommodating a HP is no problem. The building industry always carps on about how expensive it will be. Bollocks. They say that about every single thing and then cut every possible corner anyway. If they had their way we'd have single glazed solid block walls with no insulation at all. -
Are we targeting ASHP's at the wrong market?
Beelbeebub replied to ProDave's topic in Air Source Heat Pumps (ASHP)
Have you got an actual quote. One that isn't a daily mail headline? There was a plan to end new gas boiler installs from then. But there was never any plan to turn off gas in 2030. -
Are we targeting ASHP's at the wrong market?
Beelbeebub replied to ProDave's topic in Air Source Heat Pumps (ASHP)
And everyone says that and nothing gets done. We have the Americans advancing that argument. "China emits more" - so the 2nd place person can't do anything? I thought the UK was supposed to be a world leader? Apart from, apparently, tackling climate change. Itvs important because we tea an example. It's true the big issue is"what happens when all.of Africa tries to live like the West?" It would be catastrophic. But if we can show we can live a high standard ofiving whilst having low emissions it will encourage them to develop. In the same way -
Are we targeting ASHP's at the wrong market?
Beelbeebub replied to ProDave's topic in Air Source Heat Pumps (ASHP)
that was the argument - and a fair one. We don't want to end up like California where our peak demand is summer afternoons! The solution may be fairly simple. The units availble for subsidy must be verified models that have the minimum air temp output at (say) 28C. This would make them only good for cooling on the warmest of UK conditions, where or is prob useful at a national level to prevent heat stress issues. Another one would be not allow them to have condensate drains (which also makes them cheaper) -
Are we targeting ASHP's at the wrong market?
Beelbeebub replied to ProDave's topic in Air Source Heat Pumps (ASHP)
Have they? Not very realistic. I doubt we will ever get rid of it entirely. We will always need some backup for cold dark windless periods. But if we coukd get it so we fire up the gas stations a few weeks a year and run on solar, wind etc the rest of the time that would be possible. Mad star I saw the other day. Last year 2024, Pakistan imported around 13Gw of solar panels from. China. Mostly for individual homes and small businesses. The entire grid generating capacity of Pakistan is only 46Gw. In one year they fitted (OK some are stillvprobbaly waiting to be fitted) 1/3 of their entire electrical capacity. They could have 2x times their 2023 capacity of electricity entirely carbon free by 2030 and only be firing up the fossil fuel plants a few weeks of the year. For reference the UKs total generating capacity is 75-100gw
