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Everything posted by SteamyTea
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Another way to think of it is that the government is improving people's quality of life as Nepal moves towards full democracy. (I know nothing about Nepal except the best 'Indian' restaurant I have found in Penzance is seems to have some connection to Joanna Lumley, and that is good enough for me)
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Large dairy farms already collect waste and process it into methane, that is then injected into the gas grid. It is not as simple as putting it into a container, letting it rot, and piping the gas away. Below is an example of a small scale one in India. https://www.biocycle.net/india-dairy-farmers-install-small-scale-digesters/ Note that they are claiming carbon credits, which is often the main income from them. There were a couple of conmen based in Devon that convinced someone on the Green Building Forum to buy their unproven design. All it was was an underground storage cylinder connected inline with the household sewage. They claimed more energy out than in. I went to see them, on the insistence of Viking House's Seamus and the Architect Tom Foster. The whole setup was a farce. 7 hours of my life I will never get back. Just followed a link in the Indian Article to a smaller bio-digester. https://www.biocycle.net/food-waste-to-biofertilizer-using-home-digesters/
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@Menessis You are getting a new Prime Minister.
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It is legitimate to do research, research is about answering questions after all. The question I would ask is how long can this 'stuff' be stored reliably. A billion is not enough. Thing is, when the two cheapest new generation systems are, apart from manufacturing, both zero emissions (near enough), why bother to try use others that need secondary processes. There really is not need to use combustion technology these days, and huge parts of the world have better resources than us. The UK is rather fixated with 'reliability and price' while being very scared to try anything new (I still know people that have not tried a curry or a pizza).
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That would be really useful data. I often think people are over optimistic about the efficiency they can get from almost every bit of equipment they own. Reducing parasitic loads is an area I really focused on a decade ago, it is why I show two different 'means'. In my larger spreadsheet I can look at the half hourly data and see what is happening.
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That is the borrowings, which are secured by government bonds. Not what we have to instantly pay back. Government book keeping is not the same as your household budgeting. If you want to keep on believing that nuclear and gas is the way forward for energy production, I cannot convince you differently. Thankfully though, we are on a path, all be it too slowly, to decarbonisation, and no amount of tantrums about cost and it not being possible will stop it. But we will not agree on this, so no point carrying on with it.
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I used to drive past it most mornings on the way to work. Was a huge steelworks next to it that ran all the way up to Midtown where I worked. If you want a good reason to not mine coal, go to Centralia, PA. An underground coal mine fire has been burning since 1962. It is a very strange place to visit.
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Not at all, I quite like nuclear technology. But as a cost effective, reliable and quickly deployable technology, forget it. There is also the global problem of uranium ore supplies. There was a report by David Elliot many years ago about just this problem. David Elliot is a nuclear expert and was very supportive of the industry. If you can deploy 1 MW of wind power for £1.5m, and let us say that can generate 2.6 GWh/year. The initial price of Hinckley C was £18bn back in 2007, 18 years ago. So say we deployed wind power at £1bn a year, that would be 667 MW installed capacity, generating around 1.7 TWh/a year, in 2008, 2009, another 1.7 TWh, total of 3.4 TWh. By now, we would be generating nearly 30 TWh/year. Hinkley with its 3 GW of capacity would, if it was finished, be generating 26 GWh/year. But Hinkley is not ready, and probably won't be until at least 2031, with a price of £40bn (about what COVID cost us). So let us take that difference of £22bn and invest it in some lithium storage at £1.5m/MWh. That is £1000 per kWh, so pricy. That would be about 14.6 TWh of storage, more than enough to store excess and deliver shortfalls. And we could be already doing that. But no, the desperate nuclear industry has proposed that we go for Small Modular Reactors, which like the Hinckley design (EPR0 is unproven. Olkiluoto was 18 years late and only started producing in 2023, Flamanville was connected last year. Nuclear, while technically interesting, is dead in the water. Really is bonkers to support it when there are more viable options. Another way to look at it is how many houses could £18bn have built. Let us say that a developer can build a house for £120,000. It may not be the best house ever, but adequate. 150,000 houses, not far off what we build each year. So if you think that houses are expensive, don't consider the supporting nuclear power, it will come out at twice the price. (expletive deleted)ing bonkers.
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We have done that for the last 2 decades almost, how much new generation have we achieved? That already happens directly or indirectly. Most industrialised countries already have carbon accounting and taxation system in place. It is only on new vehicles, it is not banning the existing ones. What ELMS is about. There is already a plan down here (Cornwall) for coastal flooding. The plan is abandonment. Inland flooding is the bigger problem. Keeps amazing me that the right wingers, free enterprisers, restrictions reducers cannot see that there is trillions to be made in upgrading the worlds energy infrastructures. Seems the main player in this is China, and they come in for a lot of stick for it.
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Grey, damp and miserable. But I think I prefer that. I spent £3 on keeping warm yesterday.
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@Marvin I think I have just about done all the reduction measures I can (except baths). I intend to add a bit more insulation here and there, but it will only make a marginal difference. An EV would make the biggest difference, but at the moment it would not be practical (or affordable) for me. I could get a lodger again, which would pay for an EV, but I like living in my own.
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That is because they are still based on cheapest energy source, be thankful it is not based on the 'too cheap to meter' nuclear prices. It is not the fault of renewable energy supporters that out governments have a crap system of setting taxation on energy. The RE industry has been trying to get this changed for years.
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Because of the way it is priced. Been though that. It is not the renewable energy business set government policy on tax and incentives. Considering that electricity from off shore wind is coming in at 5p/kWh or cheaper, it is quite amazing that any money is spent on fossil fuels. But as we have seen over the last few years, our reliance on fossil fuels is rapidly diminishing, regardless of government policies.
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I think this is something us 'older ones' know more about as we lived though the Cold War. The turning off of the gas line through Ukraine was one days news, and now chip wrappers. Having grown up around oil refineries, the conversation at home was often the price of oil. If it went down to $20/barrel, the refineries reduced capacity. The refined products then kept their value. A few years back, think it was 2006, we had a spike to $160/barrel, and armchair predictions that the new normal would be $200/barrel. It settled at around the $80/barrel and has been there for ages. Don't confuse local prices with oil prices, one is international trading of a future delivery of a product that is still in the ground, the other is local policies. People down here moan about the cost of petrol and say that the energy companies are ripping us off. I am one of the few people that travel up country on a very regular basis and noticed that our prices are lower than most. Also, it is often claimed it is because we are so far from an oil refinery. Well most of the UK is far from an oil refinery, but out depot is in Plymouth. Not far at all (between 0 miles and 80 miles). I do wish that all energy was taxed on two criteria, the energy content and the CO2e emissions. Then there would be a much more level playing field.
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Until it costs more, then it is Ed (I assume Milliband) telling you what to do.
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Not really. That is the maximum efficiency when everything is already up to temperature, the flow temperatures are idea, and the air temperature is high (ambient air temperature affect open combustion). Be better to work on 70% efficiency to take into account cycling.
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Off Grid Challenges Recently, there has been a few people talking about off grid living. This is an admirable and romantic idea, and something I would like to do myself. Then reality kicks in. First we must agree what we mean by off grid. To me it means not connected to main services, but usage of public services i.e. roads, domestic rubbish, healthcare, education, policing, food, clothing etc is allowed. Basically it comes down to water, waste and power. I have come to these limitations because I cannot live without the others. No one want to see me in handmade clothes and washed only in spring water. So the first thing to look at is how much energy I actually use, and when I use it. Luckily I take a keen interest in this and log my electrical data every few seconds (a mean of 8.5 seconds). Internal temperature data is also logged. Initially, to keep things simple, I work with monthly data, but will drop down to weekly, daily and half hourly data when needed. The chart below is the big picture of what I use. Chart 1 I am generally quite happy with my overall usage and internal temperature. This winter I am experimenting a bit with the temperature as my working hours have changed after 15 years of working evenings I have gone back to working days. As Chart 1 shows, January to April shows I have my storage heaters on and use a Mean Power of between 0.7 kW and 0.4 kW, then it drops to 0.36 kW in March, then down to 0.25 kW until the end of October. As you will have noticed, there are two Mean Power lines. One is the ‘normal’ interpretation of the Mean i.e. the sum of all readings, divided by the number of readings. This obviously includes the minimum readings, which are 0 kW and sustained maximum 4.33 kW. ‘Sustained’ in this instance means for at least half an hour. There are times where the Maximum Power peaks at 13.16 kW when looking at half hour data, but this may be for just a few seconds or minutes. By filtering out the 0 kW times, one gets a more realistic idea of what is actually being drawn and when it happens. This is important as it can help when choosing storage and delivery systems. Without changing anything, including usage behaviour, I could get an inverter that has a maximum power delivery of 14 kW and know that all my usage would be covered. Storage, for one day, without any inputs, would need to be at least 26 kWh once 20% efficiency losses are taken into account. The 20% losses are based on a ‘best guess’ as this is a very variable percentage based on different power draws, battery charging and discharging temperatures and the state of charge they are at. So what do I use my energy for. Luckily, being on E7, I can easily see what is used for water heating and what is everyday usage. By looking at my April to November night usage, I can get a fairly good estimate of my domestic hot water usage. Chart 2 Chart 2 above shows the half hourly usage between April and up to November, when there is no space heating on. The mean usage over that period is 4.2 kWh, so apart from the washing machine usage and the fridge switching on, it is fair to assume my daily water energy usage is around 4 kWh/day. This is bourne out my my higher than average water usage. One of my many failing is that I like a bath, every day, and would have two a day if I did not curb my enthusiasm. If I fitted a heat pump, to heat the water, I could probably reduce that down to 2 kWh/day. Or if I took showers, less than 1, but I dislike having a shower, though they are good at getting the day’s fat, blood and grizzle off my body after work. Chart 3 Chart 3 shows the same data, but for January and February when the storage heaters where on. The daily mean, for space and water heating, has increased to 12.25 kWh/day, so 8 kWh/day are for space heating. This works out as a power delivery, for my house, of 27 W.m-2. Using a heat pump could reduce that by a factor of 3, so less than 2.6 kWh/day or 9 W.m-2. Looking at the mean internal air temperature, I see they are within 0.5°C. This is good as it shows that my heating regime is working well and does not need adjusting. So having got my usage figures, and estimated some usage figures if I changed to a heat pump, what can be done about generating energy on site to cover approximately 8 kWh/day. My house is small, and the roof will only support, at the very most, 3 kWp of photovoltaic. It is also less than ideal facing with the optimal side facing South West. Looking at PVGIS to get an estimate of what I could generate, highlighting December because it is the worse month and with similar usage to January, it shows that there would be a total generation of 24 kWh. That works out as around 0.75 kWh.day-1 It is not until April that I could cover my usage, and by October a deficit would be showing. The deficits are in the table below. Month Usage /kWh PV Generation /kWh Deficit January 248 31 -217 February 232 58 -174 March 248 129 -119 October 155 83 -72 November 180 38 -142 December 248 24 -224 Whiles the above energy deficits are not that large, they need to be covered. Even if a battery storage system was installed, without the generation capacity, regardless of how spasmodic the generation, it would still not be covered. The only realistic generation method is to use a small generator. Using December’s data, as it is the worst month overall, on average, a 2 kW generator would have to run for 4 hours a day once efficiency losses where taken into account. During these 4 hours, a battery system of 26 kWh capacity, could be efficiently charged with 8 kWh of energy. By having an oversize battery storage system, more effective charging and discharging can take place, and the system will have a longer lifespan. It also allows for some days to probably not run a generator at all depending on the weather. My choice for a generator would be bottled gas (LPG). While diesel may offer a small improvement in efficiency, they are noisy and if the stored fuel gets some water in it, can be expensive to rectify or repair. Gasolene to LPG is a tried and tested conversion. Ideally a combined heat and power (CHP) unit would be used as these offer the best possible efficiency with about 30% of the fuel input turned into usable thermal energy and 20% into electricity. Unfortunately there are no easily available small CHP units or around 5 kW total output. This would mean that a DIY solution would have to be made. This would be an interesting project. There are some small capacity, water cooled, twin cylinder motorcycle engines that may lend themselves well to this application. There are also cheap, permanent magnet, low speed, direct current current motors that can be driven as a generator. Noise would be the biggest problem with a generator, but as it may only run for a few hours a day, then it can be used during the daytime. It can also be buried in an earthen bank, with secondary inlet and exhaust systems fitted. Modern cars are very quiet at low revolutions, no reasons that a modern motorcycle engine should be any different. My car, and old diesel is quite quiet at tickover, and it is using 1 kWh of fuel per hour. So to conclude, while it is not possible for me to be ‘off grid’, with a larger, more isolated property, and the use of a generator, and about £25,000 of investment, I could be off grid.
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I plugged in efficiency losses into that, I suspect that oil is similar in price. Some on here are buying in electricity at ~5p/kWh.
