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Filling in Heatloss calculator, help a thicko.

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Evening, filling in Jeremy Harris heat loss calculator 

I understand Jeremy built this to work out where best to spend his money in his build. 

however if I want to use it to help understand the size of a heat pump I need, what should I put in the outside temperature box. 

jeremy used minus 10, so probably the worst case scenario 

should I use a more real world figure like 0 or minus 2, the met office is saying the average minimum temp in January is 1.23


whats best to get some real world figures out of it. 

cheers. Russ. 

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