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  1. Ferdinand
    So ... what do we think? Here is a spreadsheet with lots of previous data and majorities sorted in order of likely declaration time if anyone is *really* interested in watching comparisons as they announce tomorrow. It is from @AndyS over at politicalbetting.com. http://www2.politicalbetting.com/index.php/archives/2017/06/07/your-essential-thursday-evening-companion-andyjss-general-election-spreadsheet/ https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1OmJVW05bWEn2a9ak4BJGe_6Jm_u2qdN9DK0GqqeV8Gg/edit#gid=0 My prediction: Votes Tory: 46% - only one poll has had them below 40%, UKIP transfers Lab: 34% - WWC Labs voting Tory due to Mr Corbyn keeping it down Lib Dem: 9% - Tiny Tim's idiosyncratic campaign focus on declining remainers UKIP 5% - job done SNP: 4% - just under half the Scottish voters Green: 1% - shifted to Corbyn The rest: 2% - who? Seats -(likely to be way off) Tory: 388 (+61) Lab: 191 (-44) SNP: 45 (-11) Lib Dem: 5 (-4) Green: 1 Plaid: 2 NI: 18 Tory Majority: 126 (depending on how you count it) Turnout: 65% Possible minor civil unrest when the Corbynistas hear the result and declare that democracy must be corrupt because they lost. Expect petition demanding that MI5 rigged the result and must be abolished. Theresa may somewhat diminished. Ferdinand (sorry - possibly in wrong topic but it will be a polite thread)
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