I had a Potterton Condensing Gas Boiler (set at 19.5kW). I have tracked energy consumption and billing for years so have a very good handle on energy consumption and costs to heat our home and hot water. The HPS performance estimate predicted a slight increase in annual cost, but does n't take into consideration the fact we have solar PV, which I believe would offset the increase. The running cost was not the primary motivation for changing although I did not want a significant increase in running costs. With the recent cold snap (0 to -5°C for a week) I thought the performance estimates were a work of fiction much like VW emission figures with figures of 50-60KWh/day and £8-9/day even taken into account that you really need to view running costs over a full year.
Following on my original post and two visits from Vaillant engineers I have learnt quite a lot. Hopefully the comments below will prove useful for others
Buffer tank fitting - the 40L buffer tank did reduce cycling significantly. Although the maximum flow temperature achieved did not improve significantly not having to de-ice every 40-60 minutes allow longer periods of heating to get the house up to temperature. Of course this increased energy consumption!
Set up - It is clear that the installer and Vaillant did not take time to set the pump correctly. Early on I informed Vaillant the pump does not appear to be modulating or responding to set point temperatures on the controller. I was basically fobbed off, but after further investigation the set point issue was a simple setting in the controller. Change from Active to Expanded. More alarming is following a visit yesterday the pump does now appear to be modulating correctly and using about 60% less energy than before the change was made. The problem appears to have been the pump in the HP was set at a fixed speed rather than auto-control.
Pump size - This is the first winter the new Arotherm Plus (3, 5, 7 ,10 ,12 kW) has been tested. The older Arotherm (5, 8, 11, 15 kW) is still available. The installer has informed me that the smaller models (3, 5) of the new Plus appear to be experiencing more 'niggles' than the larger models (7+). They have fitted approx. 100 across the range. The issue is the other way round with older Arotherm. The 5kW is the most reliable model in the range with larger models being less reliable. Obviously anecdotal information, but the installer has fitted a lot more of these and they have decided going forward to fit buffer tanks as standard to all 5kW Arotherm Plus (if space permits).
With the set up corrections made it is still an unknown of how it will perform in cold weather, as the weather is now mild. Vaillant and the installer agree the heat loss calculations and radiator sizing is correct, but Vaillant insist the pump is working correctly. The installer has now offered to exchange the pump for a larger 7kW new Plus model (which will increase running costs slightly) or a 5kW more 'robust' older Arotherm (running costs the same). I am minded to go up in size to give some head room.
Overall although it is an experience I could have done without, if the pump operates correctly (modulates as required), is sized correctly I am confident that it will provide enough heating and DHW for the home at a similar cost to our gas central heating system (caveated that we have solar PV to offset potential increase in cost) and I think over the lifetime of the pump the price differential between gas and electricity will narrow.
Many people on this forum have said it already, but the lessons learned. Make sure the sizing calculations are correct to the best of your ability and ask lots of questions. Make sure the pump is set up correctly. Get the pump fitted in autumn definitely not spring. For your consumer rights you need to have the pump tested in winter within 6 months of fitting. If things are n't quite right it is the installers responsibility to prove there is no issue in the first 6 months. After 6 months it becomes your responsibility.