Primarily for environmental reasons, I'd like to switch our 2009 built detached house from a mains gas boiler to air-source heat pump. Octopus has quoted £5.3k for a fully installed system including their Cosy 10 ASHP, and have completed a survey, calculating 9 kW heat loss at -2.4 degC ambient temperature.
We built a conservatory a few years ago, but kept the existing patio doors, etc, so the conservatory is thermally separate from the rest of the house. We added a new, separate zone to our existing ground floor underfloor (wet) heating for the conservatory, and we heat the conservatory a little during mild spring/autumn days, but don't heat it over winter - this would be environmentally and financially costly as the conservatory is quite large and obviously has high heat loss!
The survey report from Octopus doesn't include the conservatory in the heat loss calcs, but they've now said that MCS requires them to include the conservatory due to the underfloor heating connection, and that they would need to specify a heat pump capable of heating the entire house AND conservatory for 99.6% of the year (i.e. all through winter). I've pointed out that heating a standard conservatory all through winter would be silly. I've also pointed out that if we were to fit a 12-14 kW heat pump (based on these MCS requirement calculations), it would probably run terribly (very inefficient) when only heating the house through most of spring and autumn (i.e. milder weather).
Octopus has stated that the only way to satisfy MCS requirements would be to permanently disconnect the conservatory underfloor heating as part of the install. Is this really the case? Has anyone else experienced a similar situation (e.g. a radiator in the conservatory), and did you find a solution that satisfied MCS without fitting a heat pump that's too powerful for actual heating requirements? I've suggested Octopus sets the target temperature for the conservatory to be 5 degC, but they've said MCS requires a minimum of 16 degC for conservatories.
Please let me know if any further information would be helpful! Thanks for any advice!
In case it's relevant, smart meter readings over this winter show our highest gas use over any 24 hour period is 100 kWh (noting that we haven't had any super-cold days this winter). Dividing by 24 shows average heating power over this period is 4.2 kW (assuming close to 100% efficiency from the gas boiler). If we assume that on a very cold day, we might need 6 kW of continuous heating (instead of the 4.2 kW we've seen so far this winter), and that an "X kW" heat pump can only deliver about 70% of X kW at an ambient temperature of -5 degC (if I understand correctly, nominal power rating is typically based on an ambient of +7 degC), then it looks like an 8 kW heat pump would be about right for us. I can't find much data on the Cosy 10, and how well it modulates down to lower power levels, but it's clear that from the Octopus offerings (Cosy 6, Cosy 10), that the Cosy 6 wouldn't be sufficient.